RSpill

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Unusual right now

Every other page here tells you what a trade is worth today. This one tells you whether today is unusual — each item measured against its own last 90 days, not against a threshold that means different things for a rune and a godsword.

ItemSpreadUsuallyStandingMarginPer windowIn rangeActivityDays
Copper ore3.70%0.00%normal113.0K100%69.22×91
Garlic7.69%9.52%normal222.0K81%25.43×91
Archery ticketmembers60.00%15.38%above normal6108K0%16.01×87
Silk-7.14%14.29%far below normal-1-18.0K24%13.86×91
Gold ring-4.40%3.97%far below normal-5-54.9K-57%13.66×91
Sapphire ring2.11%2.24%normal13,521-12%11.83×91
Soda ashmembers633.33%21.43%far above normal19247K-6%11.00×91
Beer5.26%6.82%normal24,00047%10.00×91
Diamond necklace2.94%0.76%far above normal158,805-25%9.12×91
Raw sardine2.50%7.41%below normal115.0K100%8.34×91
Ruby ring1.70%2.24%normal-2-2,4243%8.14×91
Gold necklace21.59%4.14%far above normal17193K-56%7.68×91
Diamond bolt tipsmembers3.73%1.20%far above normal318.6K81%7.35×90
Cabbage3.45%3.03%normal16,00062%7.21×91
Dragon knife(p++)members3.88%3.31%normal5918.0K4%7.10×91
Maple shortbow-8.46%4.19%far below normal-13-100.0K34%7.04×91
Nihil dustmembers3.34%4.44%normal3712.9K68%6.77×91
Pot25.00%9.09%above normal339.0K23%6.16×91
Leaping sturgeonmembers40.00%0.00%above normal452.0K38%6.06×91
Rope-90.00%11.29%far below normal-9-2,250-13%5.89×91
Fishing bait25.00%25.00%normal18,0000%5.52×90
Sunfire splintersmembers1.73%2.04%normal-1-2,89060%5.48×90
Sapphire bolt tipsmembers0.00%11.11%normal0088%5.44×91
Emerald ring3.56%2.85%normal715.6K-13%5.33×91
Raw herring2.54%11.11%below normal26,34863%5.19×91
Tarromin tarmembers100.00%0.00%above normal17,0000%5.06×91
Cheese2.50%3.45%normal113.0K0%4.98×91
Hammerstone seedmembers50.00%33.33%above normal12,0000%4.93×91
Purple sweetsmembers9.57%1.69%far above normal25074.0K4%4.93×90
Ring of recoilmembers1.04%2.84%far below normal-11-9,55959%4.90×91
Fine fish offcutsmembers13.33%4.56%far above normal34113K36%4.83×91
Leaping troutmembers100.00%0.00%above normal226.0K0%4.81×91
Marrentill tarmembers100.00%0.00%far above normal214.0K0%4.80×90
Earth talisman1.14%2.68%below normal-5-8,13050%4.80×91
Raw trout2.63%6.06%normal115.0K29%4.72×91
Yellow finmembers13.16%6.98%above normal17112K24%4.72×91
Adamant javelinmembers6.67%1.96%normal222.0K7%4.66×91
Dodgy necklacemembers6.96%4.19%far above normal6648.8K44%4.60×91
Adamant seedsmembers17.98%8.57%above normal14157K38%4.53×91
Raw lobster2.70%3.70%normal19,00941%4.41×91
Nail beast nailsmembers0.41%1.06%normal-15-15.3K101%4.38×90
Leaping salmonmembers50.00%0.00%above normal113.0K-17%4.25×91
Frozen tearmembers12.68%7.49%above normal22107K13%4.06×91
Emerald bolt tipsmembers0.00%5.13%normal0090%4.05×91
Guam tarmembers66.67%11.11%above normal642.0K39%3.98×91
Vial of bloodmembers0.13%2.21%far below normal-148-18.6K28%3.98×91
Energy potion(4)3.28%4.19%normal24,0008%3.96×91
Bucket of sandmembers20.00%5.56%above normal113.0K0%3.83×90
Frost dragon bonesmembers3.85%1.97%far above normal11717.8K61%3.83×91
Uncut jademembers110.00%5.95%far above normal32320K-34%3.63×91
Diamond3.38%1.12%far above normal2013.3K42%3.56×91
Seeking dragon arrowmembers1.77%1.24%above normal-7-2,33891%3.55×90
Broad arrowheadsmembers9.09%5.88%normal428.0K44%3.46×91
Black chinchompamembers1.00%2.04%far below normal-37-9,990103%3.36×90
Yanillian hopsmembers13.73%4.08%far above normal59116K1%3.32×91
Fish offcutsmembers16.67%25.00%normal18,000-11%3.26×91
Kwuarmmembers0.38%0.56%normal-29-15.8K7%3.24×91
Mind rune33.33%33.33%normal118.0K100%3.20×90
Ruby0.84%2.04%far below normal-8-11.2K29%3.10×90
Vial of water16.67%0.00%normal113.0K67%3.08×90

How “unusual” is decided

Each item is compared with itself. A 4% spread is wide for a nature rune and narrow for a dragon warhammer, so a single threshold across the catalogue would surface the same volatile items forever and miss everything else.

  • Medians, not averages. One spike — an update, a streamer, a brief squeeze — drags an average around for weeks and makes everything after it look ordinary. The spread of the distribution is measured with median absolute deviation for the same reason.
  • At least 20 days or nothing. A percentile from four days is noise with a number attached. Items below the floor are left out rather than guessed at.
  • Unusual is not the same as worth doing. An item that normally has no spread sits at the 100th percentile the moment it has one of a single gp. So this list also requires a margin that survives the tax and a window worth filling.
  • Only items that actually trade. Restricted to 500+ an hour, because an unusual spread on something that changes hands twice a day is a trap rather than an opportunity.

Expect this to be empty much of the time. A market where something is always unusual is one with a badly set threshold.