RSpill

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Unusual right now

Every other page here tells you what a trade is worth today. This one tells you whether today is unusual — each item measured against its own last 90 days, not against a threshold that means different things for a rune and a godsword.

ItemSpreadUsuallyStandingMarginPer windowIn rangeActivityDays
Gold ring-4.40%3.97%far below normal-5-54.9K-57%13.66×91
Gold necklace21.59%4.14%far above normal17193K-56%7.68×91
Water battlestaffmembers1.23%0.34%far above normal-68-7,956-49%1.74×91
Uncut jademembers110.00%5.95%far above normal32320K-34%3.63×91
Raw swordfish3.37%2.13%above normal316.9K-32%1.70×91
Magic longbowmembers2.82%1.34%far above normal87,760-28%1.90×90
Diamond necklace2.94%0.76%far above normal158,805-25%9.12×91
Sandwormsmembers15.38%2.86%far above normal1296.0K-24%0.93×91
Dragonstone boltsmembers10.00%1.56%far above normal3179.5K-21%1.26×91
Earth battlestaffmembers1.12%0.40%far above normal-76-8,816-20%1.98×91
Ancient essencemembers15.38%0.00%far above normal2154K-20%2.16×91
Grimy ranarr weedmembers0.50%0.46%normal-71-14.8K-19%1.39×91
Leaping salmonmembers50.00%0.00%above normal113.0K-17%4.25×91
Manta raymembers2.52%2.29%normal55,040-16%2.87×91
Uncut ruby2.05%1.56%normal11,282-15%1.83×91
Yew longbow (u)members13.01%3.82%far above normal14114K-15%2.46×91
Toadflaxmembers3.35%0.62%far above normal2413.0K-15%1.01×91
Aether catalystmembers5.62%1.17%far above normal936.1K-14%1.65×91
Snapdragon potion (unf)members3.52%0.40%far above normal9914.6K-13%1.55×91
Emerald ring3.56%2.85%normal715.6K-13%5.33×91
Rope-90.00%11.29%far below normal-9-2,250-13%5.89×91
Sapphire ring2.11%2.24%normal13,521-12%11.83×91
Prayer potion(3)members2.12%0.30%far above normal5845-12%1.48×90
Tarrominmembers5.84%4.70%normal643.8K-12%1.68×91
Fish offcutsmembers16.67%25.00%normal18,000-11%3.26×91
Emerald necklace3.14%2.53%above normal511.2K-11%1.54×91
Ranarr potion (unf)members0.63%0.28%above normal-74-13.7K-11%1.01×90
Iron boltsmembers90.00%18.75%far above normal963.0K-9%2.78×91
Amethystmembers0.94%1.10%normal-24-10.7K-9%1.94×91
Ranarr weedmembers1.27%0.18%far above normal-37-7,326-9%1.19×90
Ruby necklace2.46%1.75%normal44,676-8%2.94×91
Dragonstone bolt tipsmembers3.16%1.75%above normal414.0K-8%1.18×91
Grimy lantadymemembers4.44%1.77%far above normal1824.2K-8%2.17×91
Impling jarmembers0.49%3.38%far below normal-3-14.6K-7%2.39×91
Grimy toadflaxmembers0.79%0.99%normal-21-11.9K-7%1.47×91
Rune arrowmembers3.13%2.47%normal111.0K-7%2.20×90
Grimy harralandermembers4.67%2.45%above normal426.7K-6%2.00×91
Soft clay4.40%2.88%normal333.0K-6%0.61×91
Soda ashmembers633.33%21.43%far above normal19247K-6%11.00×91
Dynamitemembers-2.50%2.25%far below normal-3-37.5K-6%2.01×91
Rubium splintersmembers4.00%2.88%normal226.7K-6%1.13×91
Dragon javelin tipsmembers-0.33%2.17%far below normal-14-22.8K-6%1.79×91
Grimy snapdragonmembers0.67%0.46%normal-84-13.3K-5%1.40×90
Prayer potion(4)members1.36%1.00%above normal-54-6,642-5%1.53×90
Cadantinemembers0.28%0.26%normal-30-17.0K-5%1.27×91
Raw sharkmembers3.67%1.59%far above normal816.3K-5%1.44×90
Sapphire necklace4.27%2.94%above normal724.9K-4%1.59×91
Grimy cadantinemembers5.20%0.90%far above normal5131.6K-4%1.61×91
Gold ore2.73%1.96%above normal19,090-4%1.17×90
Adamantite ore0.75%1.46%below normal-5-12.5K-4%2.17×90
Rune dart tipmembers0.37%2.59%far below normal-13-15.9K-4%1.83×91
Teak plankmembers2.90%1.96%far above normal68,694-4%1.35×90
Lantadymemembers2.42%1.84%normal44,828-3%1.64×91
Super restore(4)members1.43%1.09%normal-53-5,883-3%2.03×91
Zulrah's scalesmembers0.80%1.95%far below normal-1-8,000-2%2.01×90
Steam runemembers19.40%4.01%far above normal12179K-2%1.55×90
Raw monkfishmembers5.81%2.54%far above normal446.5K-2%1.86×91
Crushed nestmembers3.15%0.71%far above normal3711.1K-2%2.15×91
Amethyst broad boltsmembers7.91%5.48%above normal857.6K-2%0.74×91
Bird nest (empty)members0.00%0.24%normal-64-20.0K-2%1.15×91

How “unusual” is decided

Each item is compared with itself. A 4% spread is wide for a nature rune and narrow for a dragon warhammer, so a single threshold across the catalogue would surface the same volatile items forever and miss everything else.

  • Medians, not averages. One spike — an update, a streamer, a brief squeeze — drags an average around for weeks and makes everything after it look ordinary. The spread of the distribution is measured with median absolute deviation for the same reason.
  • At least 20 days or nothing. A percentile from four days is noise with a number attached. Items below the floor are left out rather than guessed at.
  • Unusual is not the same as worth doing. An item that normally has no spread sits at the 100th percentile the moment it has one of a single gp. So this list also requires a margin that survives the tax and a window worth filling.
  • Only items that actually trade. Restricted to 500+ an hour, because an unusual spread on something that changes hands twice a day is a trap rather than an opportunity.

Expect this to be empty much of the time. A market where something is always unusual is one with a badly set threshold.